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Comments to the Western Climate Initiative on OffsetsJune 19, 2009 Quantity and Quality Criteria for Offsets Under the WCIInternational Rivers submission to the WCI Offset Committee and the Cap Setting and Allowance Distribution (CSAD) Committee International Rivers provides the following comments regarding the Offset Limit White Paper and the overall offsets protocol as proposed in the Working Plan. International Rivers is in a unique position to offer comments on the WCI's offset program due to our having closely monitored the development and implementation of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), by far the world's largest offset scheme, over the past decade. Our CDM work has included reading and submitting comments on numerous project applications (Project Design Documents), commenting on proposed methodologies and procedures, attending as observers CDM Executive Board (EB) meetings, communications and discussions with EB and methodology panel members and secretariat staff, discussions with carbon brokers and consultants and other market participants, as well as working with community and environmental groups in developing countries concerned with individual projects. Our work has led us to the conclusion that offsets are inherently problematic, particularly because of the need to determine additionality.1 This requires knowing counterfactuals (what would have happened had the project not been built) that cannot in reality be known. Project developers have strong incentives to make claims on additionality and baselines that are skewed in their own favor. Meanwhile regulators and third-party certifiers have strong incentives to give developers' claims the benefit of the doubt for a number of reasons, including that they are under financial and/or political pressure for the system to "work" and therefore generate large amounts of offsets. Our experience shows that independent observers who challenge developers' claims (with counterclaims that are just as hard to "prove" as developers' claims) are unlikely to have a strong influence on project approval decisions. These inherent unknowables and political/financial pressures make it likely that offsets systems will generate large numbers of credits that do not represent emission reductions. The use of offsets delays the transformation of our energy systems that are essential to meet the major long-term emissions reductions that climate science demands. Rather than acting as a "cost-containment mechanism," the short-term use of substantial volumes of offsets would require the Western US and Canada to make major and costly jumps later on in reducing emissions. Substantial use of offsets would also seriously reduce the "co-benefits" of a declining carbon emissions cap in the Western region such as promoting green jobs, making the state a global leader in clean energy technologies, improving California's energy security, protecting consumers from the impact of fossil fuel price spikes, and reducing air pollution. For these above reasons and others we believe that offsets should not be used for compliance within the WCI. However, if the WCI Offset Committee is determined to allow the amount of offsets currently prescribed within the WCI Scoping Plan, these should be strictly limited and subject to strong quality criteria, as proposed in California's AB1404. We make the following recommendations on offset quantity and quality:
We acknowledge and admire the amount of thought and effort that the WCI Offset and CSAD committees' staff have put into the offset quantity and quality discussions. A clear lesson we can learn from experience with the CDM is that the inclusion of offsets would undermine the environmental integrity of state and regional cap-and-trade programs.
Thank you.
Patrick McCully 1See: McCully, P. (2008) "The Great Carbon Offset Swindle," in Pottinger, L. (ed.) Bad Deal for the Planet, International Rivers, Berkeley, p.7; "Stanford Study May Stir Debate On Limiting Costs In Climate Bills," Carbon Control News, posted 7 March, 2008; Schneider, L. (2007) "Is the CDM Fulfilling its Environmental and Sustainable Development Objectives? An Evaluation of the CDM and Options for Improvement," report prepared for WWF by Öko-Institut, 5 November; GAO November 2008 report. 2Lea, T. (2008) "Xiaoxi and Xiaogushan CDM Hydropower Projects: Report from a Field Trip," International Rivers; "Comments Submitted on CDM Hydro Projects." 3Haya, B. (2008) "The CDM's Hydro Hall of Shame." 4International Rivers, "Reservoir Emissions."
5Schneider, L. (2007) "Is the CDM Fulfilling its Environmental and Sustainable Development Objectives? An Evaluation of the CDM and Options for Improvement," report prepared for WWF by Öko-Institut, 5 November; Haya, B. (2009) "Measuring emissions against an alternative future: fundamental flaws in the structure of the Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)," presented at the IARU International Scientific Congress on Climate Change, Copenhagen.
More information: Read our blog on the Western Climate Initiative. Contact us: Patrick McCully
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